When I wrote yesterday that replacing General McChrystal with General Petraeus was the right move, my main justification was the need to keep confidence in the management of the war, and the potential excuse for abandoning the withdrawal timeline. It should be noted, however, that both of those reasons have a lot to do with what I think is realistic based on what we know about Obama.
If I trusted that President Obama could manage the situation with McChrystal and if I thought he would relax his timeline in Afghanistan before it caused too much more damage, I would have concluded that the command change was the wrong move. President Obama, however, is thin-skinned, has shown poor management skills, and seems unlikely to anger his left-wing base with a full commitment to winning in Afghanistan. That is why I contend that the command change was the right decision. But, as I also stated, removing McChrystal is not sufficient.
There are two men who many are calling for to be fired or replaced. One is Ambassador Karl Eikenberry, and the other is the U.S. envoy to Afghanistan, Richard Holbrooke. As Fred Kaplan explains at Slate:
Still, canning McChrystal doesn’t end the dysfunctional disunity that has plagued the war effort for many months. The U.S. ambassador, Gen. Karl Eikenberry, is on record as stating that Afghan President Hamid Karzai is an unsuitable partner for a counterinsurgency campaign. He may be right—he almost certainly is right—but, since counterinsurgency cannot succeed without a suitable partner heading the national government, Eikenberry is in essence disagreeing with the policy. His relations with McChrystal were exacerbated by the fact that the two men are longtime rivals; but those personal animosities clouded a professional tension that is probably untenable. If U.S. policy isn’t going to change, Eikenberry, too, should go.
Richard Holbrooke should be sent packing, as well. He’s the U.S. envoy to Afghanistan and Pakistan, but after he screamed at Karzai at one of their meetings, he’s no longer welcome at the palace in Kabul. (It took a trip by Sen. John Kerry and 300 cups of tea to settle the Afghan president down.) Holbrooke would have been canned a while ago, were it not for special pleading by his immediate boss and longtime friend, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. But, as Obama said today, “War is bigger than any one man or woman, whether a private, a general, or a president.” He should expand the list to include “a special envoy.”
Consider how President Obama explained his decision on McChrystal:
The conduct represented in the recently published article does not meet the standard that should be set by a commanding general. It undermines the civilian control of the military that is at the core of our democratic system. And it erodes the trust that’s necessary for our team to work together to achieve our objectives in Afghanistan.
…
It is also true that our democracy depends upon institutions that are stronger than individuals. That includes strict adherence to the military chain of command, and respect for civilian control over that chain of command. And that’s why, as Commander-in-Chief, I believe this decision is necessary to hold ourselves accountable to standards that are at the core of our democracy.
Second, I have a responsibility to do what is — whatever is necessary to succeed in Afghanistan, and in our broader effort to disrupt, dismantle, and defeat al Qaeda. I believe that this mission demands unity of effort across our alliance and across my national security team. And I don’t think that we can sustain that unity of effort and achieve our objectives in Afghanistan without making this change. That, too, has guided my decision.
[Emphasis mine]
If President Obama replaces General McChrystal because it undermines “trust” and “unity of effort,” then it would be difficult to explain why Eikenberry and Holbrooke should retain their positions. Not replacing them and not relaxing the withdrawal timeline would undermine any good that comes out of the command change. Therefore, Obama has some obvious steps to take in order to make his move worthwhile.
UPDATE: This WaPo column by Jackson Diehl is along the lines of my thinking. Obama is ultimately to blame, fairly or unfairly, for the internal problems that may be undermining our efforts in Afghanistan. I just don’t believe, however, that Obama could have handled the situation as it was without a change. To avoid “reward[ing] those in the administration who have been trying to undermine [McChrystal],” Obama needs to remove Eikenberry and Holbrooke as well.
UPDATE 2: Ed Morrissey posts on an apparent leak that Defense Secretary Gates was initially opposed to removing McChrystal, and then later acquiesced to Obama “as it became clear the White House didn’t feel same way and the issue was not going to fade”. If true, then I guess my opinion is in line with Gates’.